The Black Swan

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EAN:9780141034591
The Impact of the Highly Improbable
Manufacturer: Penguin Books Ltd (UK)

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Annotation
THE BLACK SWAN is a concept that will change the way you look at the world. Black Swans underlie almost everything, from the rise of religions, to events in our own lives. A Black Swan is a highly improbable event with three principle characteristics: it is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random and more predictable than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. Why do we always ignore the phenomenon of Black Swans until after they occur? As Taleb reveals, we are hard-wired not to truly estimate risk, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the 'impossible'. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don't know, and shows us how to face the world.
Products specifications
Podnázev The Impact of the Highly Improbable
Druh sortimentu Kniha
Autor Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Značka Penguin Books Ltd (UK)
V prodeji od 21.11.2017
Rok vydání 2008
Pořadí vydání 1. vydání
Rozměry 13.0 x 19.5 x 3.0 cm
Hmotnost 0.36 kg
Vazba Brožovaná bez přebalu matná
Počet stran 366
EAN 9780141034591
Interní kód 0176939
Produktový manažer Jana Knopová (jana.knopova@knihcentrum.cz)
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